Group: rec.sport.football.college
From: xyzzy
Date: Wednesday, February 13, 2008 11:39 AM
Subject: Re: how did Hillary blow the black vote?

On Feb 12, 8:24 pm, stephenj wrote:
> six months ago, it seemed as if the black electorate was pretty evenly
> divided between obama and hillary. on one hand, many blacks wanted to
> vote for a black candidate, but on the other, bill clinton was
> enormously popular in the black community and hillary was considered to
> be a continuation of his regime. early in the fall semester, the
> southern university student paper did a poll of some kind, and the
> students were pretty much split, maybe a slight edge to obama.
>
> but in today's VA primary, obama beat hillary among blacks 90% to 10%.
>
> 10% !! That's no better than the typical GOP candidate does among blacks
> in general elections.
>
> when you are a clinton and you don't get any more of the black vote than
> GW Bush got in 2004, you have a serious problem ...
>

my opinion:

Hillary never really had the black vote. Obama was always going to
get it, as soon as black voters became convinced he was actually
viable and not a throwaway protest vote like Jackson or Sharpton.

I think that's one reason Hillary was trying to push her inevitability
last year.